We are proud to share our latest research, which has uncovered several key insights that provide a new perspective on the current state and future trajectory of the market.

The 2026 iPhone production forecast has been revised upward to 260–270 million units, driven by stable pricing and supply chain advantages. Although 1H26 faces production shifts due to A19 processor constraints, robust demand for the iPhone 17 series is offsetting legacy model declines. The anticipated Q4 launch of the Foldable iPhone will further bolster shipment momentum, ensuring a strong performance for the second half of the year.

According to Isaiah Research estimates, TSMC's HPC (High-Performance Computing) business will reach a historic milestone in the first quarter of 2026 (1Q26), with single-quarter revenue poised to challenge the USD 20 billion mark. Overall HPC revenue is expected to see a solid Quarter-over-Quarter (QoQ) growth of approximately 7% to 9% (an increase of about USD 1.4 to 1.6 billion). The growth momentum has shifted from relying solely on a single customer's hardware iterations to being jointly driven by AI "hot-run" premiums and a massive surge in demand for custom ASICs

- **trong Shipment Momentum:** The estimated shipment volume of the MacBook Neo in 2026 is expected to reach **7 to 8 million units**, serving as the core engine driving the overall growth of Apple's laptop shipments. - **Low-Pricing Strategy Reshuffles the Market:** The $599 pricing will significantly capture the entry-level market share of traditional OEM giants and may also create a substitution effect for Apple's own tablets. - **Urgent Supply Chain Orders:** Orders for panels and camera modules have seen a significant upward revision, though the final volume performance will heavily depend on the capacity expansion flexibility of the assembly foundries.

In Q2 2026, the smartphone memory market has become an extreme seller's market, driven by suppliers prioritizing server demands and capacity crowding-out. Both DRAM and NAND prices are surging, with quarter-over-quarter increases reaching 70% to over 100%. Apple's aggressive procurement strategy has set a high pricing anchor, leaving Android manufacturers facing severe cost pressures and delayed negotiations. Looking ahead to Q3, Android brands anticipate even steeper price hikes, making hardware cost control a critical challenge for profitability.
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Should Chinese chip designers win orders, they could still struggle for production capacity given constraints U.S. curbs put on foundries such as TSMC (2330.TW) from working with Chinese firms, said Isaiah Research Vice President Lucy Chen.

The waiver is “good news” for TSMC, as it allows the company to continue with expansion plans for its 28-nanometer chips in Nanjing, China, says Lucy Chen, vice president of Isaiah Research, a Taiwan-based tech-research firm.

Apple added five new mainland Chinese suppliers while removing eight in mainland China in its latest financial year ended September 2022, after China’s strict Covid-19 controls disrupted iPhone production last holiday season, according to the latest supplier list published by the US consumer electronics giant.

Foxconn may lose some iPhone 15 work to other Chinese manufacturers after it failed to deliver iPhone 14s last November due to Covid disruptions. New arrangement marks the first time Apple has tapped three suppliers to produce premium iPhones, highlighting efforts to smooth the supply chain
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